Stock Trader’s Almanac 2021

Features

• TABLE OF CONTENTS
• Introduction to the Fifty-Fourth Edition 6
• 2021 Outlook 8
• 2021 Strategy Calendar 10
• January Almanac 12
• January’s First Five Days: An Early Warning System 14
• The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only Ten Significant Errors in 70 Years 16
• January Barometer in Graphic Form Since 1950 18
• Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record 20
• February Almanac 22
• Market Behavior Under New Presidents 24
• Market Charts of Post–Presidential Election Years 26
• Post–Election Year Performance by Party 28
• March Almanac 30
• Post-Election Years: Paying the Piper 32
• The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool 34
• How to Trade Best Months Switching Strategies 36
• April Almanac 38
• Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901 40
• S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930 42
• NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1971 44
• May Almanac 46
• Summer Market Volume Doldrums Drive Worst Six Months 48
• Top Performing Months: Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials 50
• “Best Six Months”: Still an Eye-Popping Strategy 52
• MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results 54
• June Almanac 56
• Top Performing NASDAQ Months 58
• Get More Out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD Timing 60
• Triple Returns, Fewer Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle 62
• July Almanac 64
• First Month of Quarters is the Most Bullish 66
• 2019 Daily Dow Point Changes 68
• Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday 70
• August Almanac 72
• A Rally for All Seasons 74
• Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning 76
• Market Fares Better Under Democrats; Dollar Holds Up Better Under Republicans 78
• Republican Congress and Democratic President is Best for the Market 80
• September Almanac 82
• Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined 84
• A Correction for All Seasons 86
• First-Trading-Day-of-the-Month Phenomenon 88
• October Almanac 90
• Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays 92
• Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar 94
• Market Behavior Three Days before and Three Days after Holidays 98
• November Almanac 100
• Fourth-Quarter Market Magic 102
• Trading the Thanksgiving Market 104
• Aura of the Triple Witch—4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After 106
• December Almanac 108
• Most of the So-Called January Effect Takes Place in the Last Half of December 110
• January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December 112
• Wall Street’s Only “Free Lunch” Served before Christmas 114
• If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall 116
• 2022 Strategy Calendar 118
• Directory of Trading Patterns & Databank
• Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2021 121
• Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2021 122
• S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2021 123
• Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2021 124
• NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2021 125
• Recent NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2021 126
• Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2021 127
• Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2021 128
• Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon 129
• Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 187-Year Saga Continues 130
• Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900 131
• Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/NASDAQ Composite Since 1971 132
• Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February 133
• Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April 134
• Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June 135
• Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August 136
• Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October 137
• Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December 138
• A Typical Day in the Market 139
• Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis 140
• Tuesday Most Profitable Day of Week 141
• NASDAQ Strongest Last Three Days of Week 142
• S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952 143
• NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971 144
• Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks 145
• Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks 146
• November, December and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span 147
• November Through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run 148
• Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows and Closes Since 1901 149
• Standard & Poor’s 500 Annual Highs, Lows and Closes Since 1930 150
• NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows & Closes Since 1971 151
• Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 152
• Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950 153
• Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 154
• Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 155
• Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 157
• NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971 158
• NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971 159
• Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979 160
• Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979 162
• 10 Best Days by Percent and Point 164
• 10 Worst Days by Percent and Point 165
• 10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point 166
• 10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point 167
• 10 Best Months by Percent and Point 168
• 10 Worst Months by Percent and Point 169
• 10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point 170
• 10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point 171
• 10 Best Years by Percent and Point 172
• 10 Worst Years by Percent and Point 173
• Strategy Planning and Record Section
• Portfolio at Start of 2021 175
• Additional Purchases 176
• Short-Term Transactions 178
• Long-Term Transactions 180
• Interest/Dividends Received During 2021/Brokerage Account Data 2021 182
• Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2021 183
• Weekly Indicator Data 2021 185
• Monthly Indicator Data 2021 187
• Portfolio at End of 2021 188
• If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will/Performance Record of Recommendations 189
• Individual Retirement Account (IRA): Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised 190
• G. M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival 191
• G. M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist 192